AG probe implicates Pennsylvania Democrats
July 14, 2008A new slogan for Mugabe
July 14, 2008In the run-off “election”, Robert Mugabe seems to have abandoned his old slogan, “Get behind the fist.” His new one is, er, not a lot better:
Mugabe runs out of paper
July 14, 2008Two weeks ago, I noted that Mugabe had been cut off by the German firm that supplied him the paper on which to print his hyper-inflating currency. At the time, the Zimbabwean Minister of Worthless Currency (or whatever they call it) bravely predicted that it would not be a problem.
Now Mugabe’s printing operation is being cut by two-thirds, and it will be entirely out-of-paper in another two weeks. Since the money is used to pay Mugabe’s police, army, and thugs, this could be a major problem for his regime.
(Via the Corner.)
“They’ll be fine”
July 14, 2008That’s economic genius (and potential VP candidate) Christopher Dodd (D-CT), speaking about Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac:
With share prices of Fannie and Freddie plummeting daily, are the government-sponsored entities really in a position to help rescue people whose homes are headed for foreclosure?
“They’ll be fine,” Senate Banking Committee Chairman Chris Dodd, D-Conn., told reporters Friday. Dodd, who helped shepherd the bill [increasing regulation of Fannie and Freddie] through the Senate, says the companies are “fundamentally sound and strong,” noting that they hold excess capital and that their portfolios are primarily made up of healthy, 30-year fixed-rate loans.
“There’s no reason for the kind of reaction we’re getting,” Dodd added, referring to what he described as “panic” on Wall Street. Fannie and Freddie shares have experienced multiple sell-offs after an analyst report Monday indicated that they needed to raise a combined $75 billion.
It’s always charming to hear a legislator tell us that the market is wrong.
Two days later, the Federal Reserve and the White House announced that Fannie and Freddie need a government bailout.
Scared yet?
July 14, 2008In Obama’s speech on public service, he said this:
“We cannot continue to rely only on our military in order to achieve the national security objectives we’ve set,” he said. “We’ve got to have a civilian national security force that’s just as powerful, just as strong, just as well funded.”
A “civilian national security force” that is as powerful and well-funded as the military. What’s this you say? What exactly does a civilian national security force do? (We’ve had one before, you know, and it didn’t work out so well.)
Also, in Obama’s America, public service would not be optional:
Obama called for greater integration with schools, so that young Americans are better prepared to be active citizens. He said he would make federal assistance conditional on school districts establishing service programs and set the goal of 50 hours of service a year for middle and high school students.
“Just as we teach math and writing, arts and athletics, we need to teach young Americans to take citizenship seriously,” he said.
Presumably, high-school students would need to get their public service projects approved with the school (i.e., with the government). Any project that couldn’t get approval would actually lose volunteers, since not many kids are going to do their official 50 hours, and then do more for an unapproved project. And certainly no church-related project would be able to get official sanction. So really, this isn’t just a proposal to draft kids into government-approved projects, but also a proposal to starve the lifeblood from church projects and other insufficiently progressive endeavors.
(Via Protein Wisdom, via Instapundit.)
Petraeus and Odierno confirmed
July 14, 2008. . . for their new posts as CENTCOM commander and Iraq commander. Petraeus was confirmed by a vote of 95-2 and Odierno by 96-1. The nay votes were Byrd (D-WV) and Harkin (D-IA) for Petraeus and just Harkin for Odierno. Kennedy (D-MA), Obama, and McCain did not vote on either.
iPhone 2.0 is a trainwreck
July 13, 2008The upgrade problems were just the beginning. It turns out that with the new software, calendar sync with a PC is broken.
It seems there is something in my Outlook file that iTunes doesn’t like:
- When it starts to sync contacts/calendar (or even when I so much as select the “Info” tab in iTunes), the CPU usage of OutlookSyncApp (or something like that) goes to 100%, permanently (until I kill it from the task manager). Notwithstanding the CPU usage, calendar does not get synced, even if I tell it to overwrite the data on the phone.
- Both problems go away if I delete my Outlook file and start fresh. But then, I don’t have my calendar data.
- When I import my old data into my new Outlook file, calendar sync is broken again (again, even if I tell it to overwrite the data on the phone). But at least the CPU utilization problem is still gone.
- Delete the file, everything works again. But again, no data.
- Then I try importing my old data from a CSV (comma-separated-value) file. Now sync works, in one direction. Data goes to the phone from the PC, but not vice-versa.
- Repeat with same results: Delete the file, everything works, but no data. Re-import the data from CSV and sync works only one way.
- I give up.
I suppose I could try re-entering my data by hand, but it seems unlikely that that would be any different from importing from text. Besides, even if I were to get it working, I no longer feel I could trust it to stay working. I’d like to say something dramatic now, like I’m giving up on iPhone, but the fact is I’m addicted. So, I’m going to give up on sync, and keep my calendar only on my phone.
But I don’t want to hear any more nonsense about the supposed super-reliability of Apple software. It isn’t.
POSTSCRIPT: The Apple techs were unable to do anything about the problem, but they were able to re-brick my phone for a few hours. It turns out that the “Restore” process isn’t reliable any more either. “An unknown iPhone error has occurred (6).” On the fifth try (at 20-30 minutes per attempt), I was able to unbrick the phone. At that point, calendar sync didn’t seem so important any more.
UPDATE: After some further investigation, it seems that Microsoft Outlook has to share some of the blame. Events from the iPhone are making it into the database (you can tell this by inspecting an exported text file), but for some reason aren’t being displayed if the database also contains a sufficiently old event. Very strange. Perhaps upgrading Outlook will fix the problem.
Gun confiscation in New Orleans
July 13, 2008Not to be watched by those with blood-pressure issues. (Via Instapundit.)
New DC handgun ban would promote more dangerous weapons
July 13, 2008Having lost their Supreme Court case on banning handguns entirely, it appears as though DC will try to keep their ban on magazine-fed guns (which, no joke, they call “semiautomatic machine guns”). Bob Owens observes that forcing people to adopt revolvers will actually encourage the purchase of more dangerous weapons, not less.
Canadian police state update
July 12, 2008In Canada, you can now lose your children over unpopular political speech:
A Canadian woman who describes herself as a white nationalist lost custody of her children after sending her daughter to school twice with a swastika drawn on her arm, the CBC reported.
The Winnipeg mother told the CBC she regrets redrawing the Nazi symbol after a teacher scrubbed it off. She is fighting the child welfare system to regain custody of her daughter, 7, and son, 2, who were removed from her home four months ago.
“It was one of the stupidest things I’ve done in my life but it’s no reason to take my kids,” the unidentified woman told CBC News. She is currently allowed to see her kids for two hours a week.
In a free country you’re allowed to hold unpopular views, even white supremacy. The worst excesses of McCarthyism paled in comparison to what’s going on in Canada today.
Zondervan sued for publishing the Bible
July 12, 2008A man who doesn’t like the Bible’s teaching on homosexuality (1Co 6:9 in particular) is suing Zondervan, a major Bible publisher:
Christian publisher Zondervan is facing a $60 million federal lawsuit filed by a man who claims he and other homosexuals have suffered based on what the suit claims is a misinterpretation of the Bible.
But a company spokeswoman says Zondervan doesn’t translate the Bible or own the copyright for any of the translations. Instead, she said in a statement, the company relies on the “scholarly judgment of credible translation committees.”
That is to say, setting aside whether the federal civil rights lawsuit is credible, the company says Bradley Fowler sued the wrong group.
His suit centers on one passage in scripture — 1 Corinthians 6:9 — and how it reads in Bibles published by Zondervan.
Fowler says Zondervan Bibles published in 1982 and 1987 use the word homosexuals among a list of those who are “wicked” or “unrighteous” and won’t inherit the kingdom of heaven.
Fowler says his family’s pastor used that Zondervan Bible, and because of it his family considered him a sinner and he suffered.
Now he is asking for an apology and $60 million.
Opponents of Christianity have been suing Christians in Canada for years (and winning), so it was only a matter of time until it was tried here. This suit is flawed in so many ways that it should quickly be thrown out, but that will only make them try harder.
(Via the Master’s Table.)
Pelosi digs in her heels
July 12, 2008Despite indications that the Democrats may relent and allow more domestic oil exploration, Nancy Pelosi is bound and determined to stop it:
Ms. Pelosi, who considers energy legislation a personal priority, does not appear ready to shift her view, based on discussions in a private meeting with members of the leadership on Thursday. According to accounts from those present, Ms. Pelosi said that if Democrats relented on drilling, “then we might as well pack it up and go home.”
Ms. Pelosi instead forged ahead with the effort to encourage the White House to release oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, even listing the White House telephone number and e-mail address on a poster at a news conference to encourage consumers to join the appeal. She said the release of less than 10 percent of the 700 million barrels of oil in the reserve would influence the price at the pump “now, within 10 days, not within 10 years.”
Sure, dump one-tenth of our nation’s strategic reserve into the market and you can push down the price of oil, for a while. Then, when you stop, everything goes right back where it was (except we have a smaller reserve for national emergencies). What an idiot. (Via Power Line.)
(ASIDE: By the same token, we could balance the budget — for a while — by selling off Federal property. Why not sell ANWR?)
But that’s not all. Democrats worry that when an energy bill comes up, Republicans will offer amendments to permit more drilling and force Democrats to vote on them. Instead, they decided offer no energy bill at all.
Exactly when Democrats will change their present course and bring an energy bill to the floor remains uncertain.
“Right now, our strategy on gas prices is ‘Drive small cars and wait for the wind,’ ” said a Democratic aide.
(Via Power Line.)
More Iranian photo fakery
July 12, 2008The photo on the front page of IRIB News (Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting), purportedly of Iran’s recent missile test, is apparently two years old. I wish Archer had a link for the old photo, but I know who I believe. (Via LGF.)
UPDATE: More here.
Ahmad Batebi
July 12, 2008An Iranian student who was arrested in 1999 for appearing on the cover of the Economist and suffered years of torture, has escaped to America.
Just in case anyone forgets who are the good guys and who are the bad guys.
Is Obama’s fundraising slowing?
July 11, 2008Sean Oxendine thinks so. I’d wondered if Obama’s new donors would eventually get squeezed dry, but I hadn’t had the courage seriously to hope so.
(Via Instapundit.)
UPDATE (7/17): Never mind.
Liberalism ⊢ False
July 11, 2008When faced with a conflict between environmentalists and gays, what’s a poor liberal to do?
Obama’s Iraq withdrawal plan can’t be done
July 11, 2008ABC News has a devastating report on Obama’s withdrawal plan. The military officers ABC asked said not only that a rapid withdrawal is unwise, but it actually cannot be done. (Unless we leave an enormous amount of modern US military equipment in Iraq at the same time as we abandon Iraq to the Islamists. Surely Obama isn’t that foolish.)
Text version here.
(Via the Corner.)
Okay, this is creepy
July 11, 2008“Stalk friends responsibly on Loopt’s iPhone app.”
Have you been waiting for a GPS phone that automatically forwards your location to all your friends? Your wait is over.
Britain pays Al Qaeda ambassador
July 11, 2008After the last few years of anti-war, effectively pro-terrorist idiocy, I’m not easily outraged any more, but Her Majesty’s government has found a way to do it. Al Qaeda’s ambassador to Europe, Abu Qatada, is free in Britain (with an ankle bracelet) and collects around £50,000 a year in government benefits. He is also exempt from property tax on his £800,000 home. But it’s not all cushy for Qatada; he’s not allowed to have any contact with Osama bin Laden.
(Via the Corner.)
One day behind!
July 11, 2008In all the 3G hype, I never heard that the iPhone App Store went live yesterday.
UPDATE: The software upgrade bricked my phone. Brilliant, guys.
UPDATE: Called tech support. According to the tech guy, iTunes starts applying the update before it downloads everything it needs. Then, due to the unexpectedly (?!) high volume of upgrades, their server crashed, leaving my phone partially updated and unusable.
Lesson 1: For heaven’s sake, don’t write to the firmware until you have everything you need. I would have thought this was obvious.
Lesson 2: When you release the App Store on Thursday and the 3G on Friday, plan ahead for your servers to get a lot of work.
UPDATE: I see everyone is having this problem.
UPDATE: Fixed now.
Take that, straw man!
July 11, 2008Megan McArdle has a discussion of the effect of capital gains tax rates on revenue collected. Her overall point is good, that a examination of capital gains revenue collection (at the very least) fails to disprove the idea that cutting the rate might have increased revenues.
Then, alas, it seems that she must establish her credibility by attacking “supply-siderism”:
Now, I’d be the last person to suggest that correlation is causation–I’m only pointing out that if they didn’t raise revenues, you couldn’t prove it by this graph. Moreover, there is a not-ridiculous argument that over the long term–five, ten years–they do raise revenues, by spurring capital formation and economic growth. This is very different from the supply sider argument that you could jam personal income tax rates to 1% and enjoy higher tax revenues therefrom.
The idea that cutting capital gains rates spurs capital formation and economic growth isn’t far from the supply-side argument, it’s exactly the supply-side argument, although most supply-siders would suggest that it would take less than five to ten years. The idea that you could increase revenues by cutting income tax rates almost to zero is ridiculous. I don’t know of anyone who believes that.
Moreover, we should remember Hauser’s Law, which observes that overall tax revenues (as a fraction of GDP) are remarkably insensitive to tax rates. Consequently, nearly any policy that improves the economy increases revenue. Whether Hauser’s Law would remain true at rates as low as 1% seems very unlikely, but it’s certainly the case that we haven’t found its bottom yet. We ought to be looking.
ACLU opposes gun rights
July 11, 2008The ACLU has a post-Heller position statement up. It’s disappointing, if not surprising:
The Second Amendment provides: “A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed.”
ACLU POSITION
Given the reference to “a well regulated Militia” and “the security of a free State,” the ACLU has long taken the position that the Second Amendment protects a collective right rather than an individual right. For seven decades, the Supreme Court’s 1939 decision in United States v. Miller was widely understood to have endorsed that view.The Supreme Court has now ruled otherwise. In striking down Washington D.C.’s handgun ban by a 5-4 vote, the Supreme Court’s 2008 decision in D.C. v. Heller held for the first time that the Second Amendment protects an individual’s right to keep and bear arms, whether or not associated with a state militia.
The ACLU disagrees with the Supreme Court’s conclusion about the nature of the right protected by the Second Amendment. We do not, however, take a position on gun control itself. In our view, neither the possession of guns nor the regulation of guns raises a civil liberties issue.
ANALYSIS
Although ACLU policy cites the Supreme Court’s decision in U.S. v. Miller as support for our position on the Second Amendment, our policy was never dependent on Miller. Rather, like all ACLU policies, it reflects the ACLU’s own understanding of the Constitution and civil liberties.Heller takes a different approach than the ACLU has advocated. At the same time, it leaves many unresolved questions, including what firearms are protected by the Second Amendment, what regulations (short of an outright ban) may be upheld, and how that determination will be made.
Those questions will, presumably, be answered over time.
The ACLU is standing by a “collective right” (i.e., no right at all) interpretation of the Second Amendment, that has been refuted by all nine Justices and nearly all recent scholarship, as well as the vast majority of public opinion. I wonder if they feel any dissonance claiming to be a civil rights organization while opposing some civil rights.
A preview of coming events
July 11, 2008What an Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities might look like. (Via Instapundit.)
Iranian fauxtography
July 10, 2008A photo of the Iranian missile test obtained by AFP and run in papers throughout America was digitally altered to cover for one missile that failed to launch. AFP retracted the photo, and blamed Iran for the retouch.
UPDATE: A nice animation. (Via LGF.)
Politico: Dems searching their souls on drilling
July 10, 2008Democrats are waking up to the reality that they cannot continue their opposition to domestic oil development with $4 gasoline prices. (Via Instapundit.) We needn’t however, imagine that they suddenly understand economics:
Although Senate Democrats are slowly easing away from opposition to offshore drilling, it’s clear that the majority party is not giving it away for nothing.
One idea floated by Reid would require that whatever oil is drilled in newly opened areas would need to be sold in the United States.
Democrats also want any compromise plan to include investments in clean and renewable energies, a crackdown on oil speculators and proof that the oil and gas companies are fully utilizing land that is already leased for exploration.
“If they were showing in good faith that they were drilling on some of the 68 million acres they have now, it might change some of our attitudes,” said Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.).
Investment in renewable energy might be a reasonable idea. Cracking down on “speculators” is idiocy (for one, how do you distinguish between speculation and hedging?). The other two are simply funny.
You want to require that the oil be sold in the U.S.? You go right ahead; it won’t make any difference. Since oil is a fungible (i.e., interchangeable) commodity, if oil companies want they can sell those particular oil molecules in the U.S. and sell other oil molecules abroad. (True, there are different grades of crude oil, but we already use them all in America.) The only way this would make a difference is if we actually obtained more oil in the new drilling than America’s total usage, or if there were significant cost to ship oil from the Gulf of Mexico to the U.S.
You think that oil companies are declining to drill in promising areas for oil exploration that are already open? That makes no sense. What possible reason could they have? Spite? Concern over making too much money? Geez.
POSTSCRIPT: To give credit where credit is due, Jim Webb (D-VA) is pushing nuclear power. Good for him.
Why I won’t be watching the Olympics
July 10, 2008To prepare for the Olympics, China is jailing dozens of dissidents. (Via Instapundit.)
If I were any good at illustration, I’d prepare a graphic of the Olympic logo with the rings replaced by chains.
Heh
July 10, 2008Compliments of John Derbyshire:
Stalin appears to Putin in a dream, says: “Valdimir Vladimirovich, I have two pieces of advice for you. One: Kill all your enemies, without fear or favor. Two: Paint the Kremlin blue.”
Putin: “Why blue?”
If irony has a name, it must be . . .
July 10, 2008Fake Maureen Dowd. I have to say, no one is more deserving of being misquoted. (Via Instapundit.)
Audacity of hope
July 9, 2008Massachusetts voters will have the opportunity to repeal their state’s income tax.
Professional courtesy
July 9, 2008Radley Balko wonders:
Out of San Jose, California comes a story about a well-connected former police officer who, apparently flat-out knockered, rear-ended an Escalade, which then flipped the median and struck an oncoming Jetta.
The ex-cop’s name is Sandra Woodall. We only know that thanks to the San Jose Mercury News. The police department wouldn’t release her name. Woodall now works as an investigator for the Santa Clara district attorney’s office. Her husband is a sergeant with the local police department. And her father-in-law was formerly a lieutenant at the same department. He’s also now an investigator for the district attorney’s office. . .
The police didn’t give Woodall a field sobriety test. They didn’t ask her to take a breath test. And they didn’t take her blood.
Woodall has now finally been charged with felony drunk driving, though no thanks to the investigating officers. It took an outraged phone call to senior police officials from one of the people Woodall hit to get a proper investigation.
I’m sure Woodall will lose her job with the DA’s office. The real question is whether the officers who covered up for her will lose their jobs, too.
Will cops lose their job for extending “professional courtesy” to another cop? That’s no question at all.
(Via Instapundit.)
I don’t get it
July 9, 2008The London Times has a strange article on a (disputed) archaeological discovery:
The death and resurrection of Christ has been called into question by a radical new interpretation of a tablet found on the eastern bank of the Dead Sea.
The three-foot stone tablet appears to refer to a Messiah who rises from the grave three days after his death – even though it was written decades before the birth of Jesus.
The ink is badly faded on much of the tablet, known as Gabriel’s Vision of Revelation, which was written rather than engraved in the 1st century BC. This has led some experts to claim that the inscription has been overinterpreted.
A previous paper published by the scholars Ada Yardeni and Binyamin Elitzur concluded that the most controversial lines were indecipherable.
Israel Knohl, a biblical studies professor at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, argued yesterday that line 80 of the text revealed Gabriel telling an historic Jewish rebel named Simon, who was killed by the Romans four years before the birth of Christ: “In three days you shall live, I, Gabriel, command you.”
Professor Knohl contends that the tablet proves that messianic followers possessed the paradigm of their leader rising from the grave before Jesus was born.
I just don’t get it. Let’s suppose than the inscription is correctly translated exactly as Knohl claims. (Apparently there is good reason to doubt this.) How exactly does this cast doubt on the resurrection? It has no bearing on whether or not it actually happened; all it does is suggest that the idea of resurrection was already out there. I think most people would agree that idea of resurrection is quite a bit easier than actually pulling it off.
Furthermore, there’s very little in the Gospels — the resurrection included — that isn’t already foreshadowed in the Old Testament. In fact, there is already a resurrection in the Old Testament. How would one more foreshadowing change anything? This result sounds greatly oversold.
UPDATE (7/17): One reader writes to tell me, none too kindly, that since Christianity is false anyway, all this discussion is vacuous. I disagree. There are at least two states of belief (Kripke worlds) we may consider here; in one Christianity is known to be false, and in the other it is seen as plausible. In either world, this discovery changes nothing. Clearly it is consistent with the atheist’s state, and, as I argue above, it is consistent with the believer/agnostic’s state as well. So, in what state of belief is this discovery germane? I still don’t get it.
Blue on blue
July 9, 2008Jesse Jackson apologizes for vulgar Obama remarks:
The Rev. Jesse Jackson apologized Wednesday for saying Barack Obama is “talking down to black people” during what he thought was a private conversation with a FOX News reporter Sunday.
Jackson was speaking at the time about Obama’s speeches in black churches and his support for faith-based charities. Jackson added, “I want to cut his nuts off.”
I’m not going to say that this was orchestrated; first, because I don’t go in for conspiracy theories, and second, because I don’t think Jackson is the sort to be willing to look like an ass for someone else’s benefit. However, I’m sure the Obama campaign is delighted by the incident. Being attacked by Jesse Jackson can only help him with white moderates, and it won’t hurt him with black voters. There’s no downside that I see.
UPDATE: Stephen Green goes with the conspiracy theory.
Obama strikes out on bilingual education
July 9, 2008One area that I might have thought I could agree with Obama is on bilingual vs English-only education. I am not a person who is concerned about Spanish-speaking immigrants ruining our country. Courtesy of Tom Maguire, here are his remarks on the subject:
You know, I don’t understand when people are going around worrying about, “We need to have English- only.” They want to pass a law, “We want English-only.”
Now, I agree that immigrants should learn English. I agree with that. But understand this. Instead of worrying about whether immigrants can learn English — they’ll learn English — you need to make sure your child can speak Spanish. You should be thinking about, how can your child become bilingual? We should have every child speaking more than one language.
You know, it’s embarrassing when Europeans come over here, they all speak English, they speak French, they speak German. And then we go over to Europe, and all we can say [is], “Merci beaucoup.” Right?
You know, no, I’m serious about this. We should understand that our young people, if you have a foreign language, that is a powerful tool to get ajob. You are so much more employable. You can be part of international business. So we should be emphasizing foreign languages in our schools from an early age, because children will actually learn a foreign language easier when they’re 5, or 6, or 7 than when they’re 46, like me.
There are several different questions to ask here:
- Should children learn English? Of course. No reasonable person could contest the proposition that your future is much brighter in America (and nearly anywhere else, for that matter) if you can speak English.
- Should children be required by the government to receive English-only education? The principle of personal liberty says no. I think the evidence is that bilingual education hurts English skills, but if your family disagrees, that’s your business.
- Should some children be required by the government to receive bilingual education? Absolutely not.
- Do parents actually want bilingual education? Real data on this question would be useful. Anecdotally, in the few districts with school choice, I’ve read that they have trouble filling bilingual schools but have long waiting lines at English-only schools. Also, one rarely if ever hears of bilingual private schools. (Note, I’m not talking about schools that emphasize teaching foreign languages, but schools where primary education (eg, math) is conducted in a foreign language.) Therefore, it’s at least plausible that the problem is #3, not #2.
- Does the issue of bilingual vs. English-only education have anything whatsoever to do with the Federal government? No.
- Should American children master a foreign language? I guess so. It’s hardly essential, though. I studied Latin in high school, which in practical terms is rarely different from learning no foreign language at all, and I’ve never found it a handicap. In academia, everyone speaks English, and I suspect the same is true in business. If children had a choice between a foreign language or computer science, they’d be much better off with the latter.
- Should American children be required by the Federal government to master a foreign language? I don’t really have to answer this one, do I?
- If you are going to learn a foreign language; should it be, as Obama suggests, Spanish, French, or German? There might be a case to be made for Spanish, due to its prevalence in Latin America, but if you’re looking to the future, you don’t want to learn a European language at all. Europeans after all, tend to speak English already, and the real growth markets are in Asia. Chinese, Japanese, or Hindi would be much more useful.
So how does Obama score? It appears that we agree on #1 and perhaps #2 (although there’s no hint of a libertarian principle in Obama’s position). We also agree on #6 (grudgingly on my part). Obama does not address #3 or #4. (However, I suspect there’s good reason to worry about #3, and he probably would prefer #4 weren’t even asked.) #5 he gets wrong, and by strong implication #7 as well.
#8 is telling. How many people in the world are there with whom you can communicate well in French or German and not in English? Now, how many people are there in China, Japan, and India? (A great many Indians speak very good English, but even more don’t.)
Of course, I’m sure Obama knows this. Despite that, western Europe is where he first goes for examples, not Asia where his case would be much stronger. There is a sort of educated elite in America that thinks in European terms, and feels privately (or not-so-privately) that we Americans really ought to be more like (educated, elite) Europeans. These remarks place him in that camp (if his remarks about bitter Americans clinging to religion hadn’t done so already).
UPDATE: Obama doesn’t speak Spanish himself.
UPDATE (7/18): Actually, Obama doesn’t speak any foreign language at all.
Russia rattles the saber
July 9, 2008The Kremlin ratchets up its rhetoric against deployment of a missile defense system in Europe (the one the American left says can’t work):
Russia will be forced to make a military response if the U.S.-Czech missile defense agreement is ratified, the Foreign Ministry said Tuesday. . . Russia says the system would severely undermine European security balances by weakening Russia’s missile capacity.
If the agreement is ratified, “we will be forced to react not with diplomatic, but with military-technical methods,” the Foreign Ministry statement said. It did not give specifics of what the response would entail. . .
The U.S. has pushed the plan as necessary to prevent missile attacks by rogue nations, pointing to Iran as a particular concern. But Russia dismisses the likelihood of such threats.
Speaking of which, in other news:
Iran’s state television says its Revolutionary Guards have tested nine new long- and medium-range missiles in war games that officials say are in response to U.S. and Israeli threats.
Britain’s continued slide into *bleep*
July 9, 2008British police side with brick-throwing thugs and arrest their victim. Rachel Lucas is not happy. (And no one does unhappy better than Rachel Lucas.) I always used to think that Margaret Thatcher saved Britain, but the Thatcher years are starting to look like just an aberration.
(Via Instapundit, who wonders if Britain is ripe for a revolution. I fear it might be, but not the one he wants.)
Contempt of Congress
July 9, 2008Public approval of Congress is into single digits at 9%, according to Rasmussen. Democrats and Republicans both give Congress better ratings than unaffiliated voters, 3% of whom approve.
(Via Don Surber, via Instapundit.)
Wind power makes progress
July 8, 2008A recent Economist article reports that wind-power technology has been improving, to the point that wind power now costs 8 cents per kilowatt-hour, which is less than twice the cost of coal power (5 cents/kWh). I think this makes wind power vaguely plausible as a serious contributor, provided necessary advances are made in the power grid. (Existing power grids can’t handle the inconsistency of wind power.) I don’t think anyone has any idea how much those advances will cost.
Nuclear, by the way, costs 6.5 cents/kWh, has no greenhouse emissions, and works fine with the existing grid. (Solar costs 20 cents/kWh. Good luck with that.)
Russia may end 60-year-old cover-up
July 8, 2008The Economist reports:
Few things symbolised the Soviet attitude to truth more than the Katyn massacre: having shot 20,000 Polish officers in cold blood, the Kremlin then blamed it on the Nazis. And few things symbolise better modern Russia’s lingering clinch with the Soviet past than the failure by relatives of the victims to get justice from the Russian legal system.
Last month a court in Moscow rejected a request to hear a case on two issues: the declassification of documents about Katyn and the judicial rehabilitation of the victims. That was shocking (imagine a German court telling Holocaust survivors that Auschwitz files were a military secret). But the Katyn relatives want to take their case to the European Court of Human Rights in Strasbourg, and for that other legal avenues must be exhausted first.
Last week, however, an appeal court overturned the lower court’s ruling and ordered it to hear the case. Other signals coming from the top, including an interview given to a Polish newspaper by an adviser to former President Vladimir Putin who called Katyn a “political crime”, suggest that the Russians are changing their attitude. One risk for them is a defeat at Strasbourg. Another is the effect on public opinion of a new film, “Katyn”, by Andrzej Wajda, Poland’s best-known director, that is filling cinemas in the West and in Russia.
I won’t be holding my breath.
Pelosi and the Logan Act
July 8, 2008Is Nancy Pelosi trying her hand at running her own foreign policy, treating with FARC and Venezuela? It wouldn’t be the first time.
If so, does the Logan Act apply? FARC isn’t a foreign government, but Venezuela certainly is, so I think the case could be made.
Not that it matters; no one has ever been prosecuted under the Act. Last year’s pratfall in Damascus (as the Washington Post put it) was as clear a violation of the Logan Act as you’re likely to see, but the Act was never even brought up.
PBS caught falsifying a transcript
July 8, 2008Blogger Tony Peyser catches PBS editing a Washington Week transcript to remove an embarrassing remark by moderator Gwen Ifill. Eventually, PBS ‘fesses up.
(Via a chain of links starting at Instapundit.)
BONUS: The PBS ombudsman also defends their practice of airing advertising “enhanced underwriting messages”:
Beyond our guidelines for underwriting credits, our non-commercial mission is seen in our content, which is chosen for its quality, rather than its commercial appeal to advertisers.
Right, because the best indication of quality programming is that no one wants to watch it.
NYT decides it was right
July 8, 2008The New York Times has finally found the ombudsman “public editor” it needs, one who will stand by the paper no matter what. Clark Hoyt’s latest column defends the paper’s decision to identify a CIA interrogator (who is not accused of any wrongdoing) by name:
I understand how readers can think that if there is any risk at all, a person like Martinez should never be identified. But going in that direction, especially in this age of increasing government secrecy, would leave news organizations hobbled when trying to tell the public about some of the government’s most important and controversial actions.
Left answered (and indeed unasked) is the question of why then it was so bad for Robert Novak to identify Valerie Plame by name. Plame, after all, was a central character in a huge story about another of the government’s controversial actions.
As I’ve said before, it’s a good thing the Plame-Novak-Armitage affair has largely run its course. After this, any more crocodile tears from the NYT on Plame’s behalf would be awfully hard to take.
Toddlers who dislike unfamiliar food are racist
July 8, 2008England’s National Children’s Bureau wants to brand my toddler a racist:
The National Children’s Bureau, which receives £12 million a year, mainly from Government funded organisations, has issued guidance to play leaders and nursery teachers advising them to be alert for racist incidents among youngsters in their care.
This could include a child of as young as three who says “yuk” in response to being served unfamiliar foreign food.
The guidance by the NCB is designed to draw attention to potentially-racist attitudes in youngsters from a young age. . .
Nurseries are encouraged to report as many incidents as possible to their local council. The guide added: “Some people think that if a large number of racist incidents are reported, this will reflect badly on the institution. In fact, the opposite is the case.”
These people are beyond parody. I couldn’t even make this stuff up.
(Via the Corner.)
Where have the ADA scorecards gone?
July 7, 2008In my last post, I mentioned the National Journal rating of Obama as most liberal Senator of 2007. Naturally, Obama supporters find this rating inconvenient, and have challenged its accuracy. For example, Crooks and Liars claims that Obama is actually among the least liberal Democratic senators. (Their claim is based entirely on a stale link, so there’s nothing to rebut.) They also point out that in 2004 National Journal rated Kerry and Edward the most liberal senators. (National Journal’s old ratings are subscription only, so I’m taking their word for it, but in any case, it’s not hard to imagine that Democrats move left when running for president.)
Anyway, this made me wonder what the Americans for Democratic Action scorecard said. ADA is indisputably liberal, and is well-known for its scorecards. Indeed it has the distinction of being the first organization to compile them.
(ASIDE: Economists Groseclose, Levitt (famous for his book Freakonomics), and Snyder have shown how to normalize ADA ratings so they can be compared between years and chambers. The long-existence of ADA scorecards allows them to track the politics of the US Congress over fifty years. Also, Groseclose and Milyo showed how to use the normalized ADA ratings to infer a quantitative measure of media bias (pdf), in an article that made a big stir in the blogosphere a few years ago.)
So what does ADA say about Obama’s voting record? Good question. I was unable to find information on any ADA scorecard more recent than 2005, when they gave Obama a perfect score. Today, it seems that not only has ADA discontinued their venerable scorecard, but they have erased all mention of it from their web site. Every external link I found (for example) to ADA scorecards is now 404, and a search on their web site returns zero (!) hits on the term “scorecard”.
When did this happen? (At least one chapter hasn’t gotten the word yet, with a stale link to ADA’s web site.) Judging from the Internet Archive, it happened some time in early 2007. (I realize this makes me pretty slow on the uptake.)
More importantly, why? If they had simply stopped doing them, they wouldn’t have taken steps to erase their old scorecards so thoroughly. (Even some external sites that purportedly once held copies are 404 (linked here).) It strikes me that they must have decided that the existence of their scorecards was counter-productive to their aims, despite the attention their particular organization received for them.
Returning to my original point, it’s not hard to see how they might have decided that. Any centrist, conservative, libertarian, or non-partisan ratings can be dismissed as right-wing propaganda, but the ADA’s scorecard (being indisputably liberal, as well as the oldest) cannot. Liberals, unlike most political stripes, don’t like to be labeled liberals, because it makes it harder for them to be elected, and ADA was doing them no favor.
I find it a pity, and not just because of the slight political advantage the ADA’s scorecards gave my side. ADA’s scorecards are a venerable institution, and it’s a shame to see them go. Moreover, the economic work using the ADA ratings is really cool, but it’s less useful now. The methods could presumably be applied to another organization’s scorecards, but we lose the fifty years of perspective.
UPDATE: I’m embarrassed to admit that it did not occur to me to look in the Internet Archive, but a reader suggested it to me. The Archive last saw the main scorecard page on April 9, 2007. Obama did indeed get a perfect score for 2005, as did many Democrats. It appears the ADA compiled a scorecard for 2006, but it wasn’t archived. Every link on that page (that I checked before getting bored) has since gone stale, but most of them are in the Archive.
I’ve edited the post to incorporate this.
The Rorschach candidate
July 7, 2008Mara Liasson points out why, everything else aside, Obama cannot today be trusted with the Presidency:
HUME: All this does raise a question, Mara, whether he is making sort of the normal changes in emphasis to position himself as more of a centrist or whether what we’re seeing here is a real flight from previously held positions into something completely new.
LIASSON: Well, that’s the big question. And what I think is so interesting is how few people seem to know which one it is.
I mean, Paul Krugman, who’s a liberal columnist, wrote this week, “Gee, is he a centrist just masquerading as someone who’s a transformational progressive figure or is he really the opposite?” You know, people just don’t know. He’s a blank slate. Because he’s so new, he is a kind of Rorschach test.
With an ordinary candidate you have a record to examine, and that gives you some idea where that candidate stands. With Obama, you have no record to speak of, which leaves you with only what he says. Trusting a politician’s current rhetoric is always a risky proposition, but it’s particularly so with Obama, who specializes in lofty and inspiring (to some), but substance-free rhetoric. (Moreover, on the occasions he does make a clear statement — such as promising withdrawal from Iraq in 16 months, or stating the D.C. handgun ban is constitutional — he won’t stand by them for long.)
(ASIDE: Obama’s voting record is even thinner than you would expect from his brief tenure in government. In the Illinois legislature he made a specialty of voting “present”, and in the 110th Congress he has missed 43% of the votes. (On the occasions he did vote, he voted with his party 97% of the time; earning the National Journal’s title of most liberal Senator.))
Obama makes the point himself in his book, The Audacity of Hope:
I am new enough on the national political scene that I serve as a blank screen on which people of vastly different political stripes project their own views.
The upshot is we haven’t the slightest idea what kind of president Barack Obama would be. This strikes me as profoundly dangerous.
Unproven technology works again
July 7, 2008Israel has succesfully tested another missile defense system. The “Iron Dome” system is intended to intercept the rockets that are fired frequently into Israel from Gaza and Hezbollah-controlled Lebanon. It has also been reported that the system is effective against mortar fire.
(Via Instapundit.)
UAE bets $7B on Maliki
July 7, 2008In another coup for Iraqi Prime Minister al-Maliki, the United Arab Emirates has restored full diplomatic relations with Baghdad and forgiven Iraq’s $7 billion debt.
Victory in Mosul
July 6, 2008The Sunday Times reports, “Al-Qaeda is driven from Mosul bastion after bloody last stand.” The overall story is similar to other parts of Iraq:
In Mosul, Al-Qaeda’s last redoubt, the group still held sway as recently as Easter. Now it lacks the strength to fight the army face to face and has lost the sympathy of most of the ordinary citizens who once admired its stand against the occupying forces and their allies in the Iraqi army. . .
Al-Qaeda was also bleeding support as allied Iraqi insurgents accepted an amnesty. It did not apply to Al-Qaeda. “If you are fighting to install sharia [Islamic law] on this country, you are going to have to be killed,” said Colonel David Brown, an American adviser to 2nd Division.
Mosul is significant, however, because it was Al Qaeda’s last bastion. Now they are on the run throughout Iraq.
(ASIDE: Over a month ago, the Iraqi Interior Ministry prematurely declared that Al Qaeda was cleared from Mosul (or at least the AFP reported they did), but that was contradicted by the US Army. This report, on the other hand, sounds credible to me.)
By the way, this is an unusually good article. It contains some interesting operational details, and is written by an actual war correspondent on the scene:
Marie Colvin has been a Sunday Times foreign correspondent since 1986 when she witnessed the US bombing of Tripoli. She has covered the Middle East throughout that time and in 1991 remained in Baghdad during the bombing of the first Gulf war.
She has won a string of awards for her reporting from other troublespots, including Chechnya, Zimbabwe and East Timor.
In 1999 she chose to stay on in a besieged United Nations compound in Dili, East Timor, when her male colleagues left. “They don’t make men like they used to,” [she said.]
I wish there were more like her.
(Via Instapundit.)
This is just great
July 6, 2008Iran may be working on biological weapons:
Hundreds of endangered monkeys are being taken from the African bush and sent to a “secretive” laboratory in Iran for scientific experiments.
An undercover inquiry by The Sunday Times has revealed that wild monkeys, which are banned from experiments in Britain, are being freely supplied in large numbers to laboratories in other parts of the world. All will undergo invasive and maybe painful experiments leading ultimately to their death.
One Tanzanian dealer, Nazir Manji, who runs African Primates, an animal-supplying company based in Dar es Salaam, said that in recent years he had been selling up to 4,000 vervet monkeys a year to laboratories, charging about £60 each. . . Manji said scientists at the Razi Vaccine and Serum Research Institute in Iran had bought 215 vervet monkeys from him this year but he had become suspicious about their true motive, although he was still trading with them. They had “spent a lot of money” on getting the monkeys, even sending over scientists to check on each consignment.
“Iran is very secretive,” said Manji, who has been exporting monkeys for 22 years. “They said it [the monkeys] was for ‘our country’, for vaccine. [They said] ‘We don’t buy vaccine from anywhere; we prepare our own vaccine’.
“But I think they use it for something else. You know why? Because they don’t go on kilos. Iran wants [monkeys weighing] 1.5kg to 2.5kg, [but] 1.5kg for vaccine is not possible.” . . .
The revelation will fuel speculation that the monkeys may be used for research involving biological weapons. Primates are typically used by scientists wishing to test both the effectiveness of germ warfare agents and defences against them.
The Razi Vaccine and Serum Research Institute, which has its headquarters in Karaj, near Tehran, has been accused in the past by an Iranian opposition group of conducting biological weapons testing.
According to US intelligence, the pharmaceutical industry in Iran has long been used as a cover for developing a germ warfare capability.
In 2005 the US Office of the Director of National Intelligence said Iran “continued to seek dual-use biotechnology materials, equipment and expertise that are consistent with its growing legitimate biotechnology industry but could benefit Tehran’s assessed probable BW [biological weapons] programme”. Earlier this year it reiterated this.
The Razi institute, which was established in 1925, does legitimate research but does not publicly list on its website the use of primates in any of its current projects. Other animals being used for experiments, such as guinea pigs and mice, are mentioned.
Good thing Iran is no threat to us.
(Via Instapundit.)
Supreme slip-up
July 6, 2008The Washington Post calls for the Supreme Court to issue a correction in Kennedy v. Louisiana:
When a newspaper gets its facts wrong, it’s supposed to publish a correction, and, if someone’s reputation has been harmed, a retraction and apology. It can be embarrassing, but the occasional taste of crow probably does more good than harm to the media’s credibility.
But what if the Supreme Court not only blows a key fact but also bases its ruling, in part, on that error? There was quite a goof in the court’s 5 to 4 decision on June 25 banning the death penalty for those who rape children.
Car thief saves the day
July 5, 2008A car thief found a crude car bomb, and drove it out of a residential area before notifying police:
A bomb-laden van found on a Brooklyn street by a car thief was wired to detonate by remote control, and had likely been sitting there for more than five months, sources said yesterday. . .
Sources said the homemade bombs inside the Econoline – made of Styrofoam cups, 10-ounce water bottles, cans of WD-40 and five-gallon jugs filled with gasoline – were rigged to go off via a remote car-door opener.
A thief who broke into the vehicle as it was parked on 53rd Street near Second Avenue saw the explosives, then drove the van from the mostly residential block to a remote location near the waterfront.
The thief, who has an arrest record, then phoned a cop he knew from a previous run-in with the law. . . The car thief was not expected to be charged.
English students punished for refusing to pray to Allah
July 5, 2008Two schoolboys were given detention after refusing to kneel down and ‘pray to Allah’ during a religious education lesson.
Parents were outraged that the two boys from year seven (11 to 12-year-olds) were punished for not wanting to take part in the practical demonstration of how Allah is worshipped.
They said forcing their children to take part in the exercise at Alsager High School, near Stoke-on-Trent – which included wearing Muslim headgear – was a breach of their human rights.
(Via Instapundit.)
I’m starting to think that 9/11 and 7/7 were actually a masterstroke for the Islamists. Sure, the war itself has been disaster for them; they lost Afghanistan and Al Qaeda has been eviscerated. But now we’re bending over backward to be “sensitive” to Muslims, and they’re getting accommodations (like sharia courts in western countries) they could never get before.
Study: biofuels nearly double food prices
July 5, 2008The Guardian reports:
Biofuels have forced global food prices up by 75% – far more than previously estimated – according to a confidential World Bank report obtained by the Guardian.
The damning unpublished assessment is based on the most detailed analysis of the crisis so far, carried out by an internationally-respected economist at global financial body.
The figure emphatically contradicts the US government’s claims that plant-derived fuels contribute less than 3% to food-price rises. It will add to pressure on governments in Washington and across Europe, which have turned to plant-derived fuels to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases and reduce their dependence on imported oil.
Senior development sources believe the report, completed in April, has not been published to avoid embarrassing President George Bush.
I don’t see why this would be an embarrassment to President Bush. The 2008 farm bill was passed over his veto:
The Senate voted overwhelmingly on Thursday to approve a five-year, $307 billion farm bill, sending it to President Bush for what is expected to be his futile veto.
The 81-to-15 Senate vote, like the 318-to-106 House vote on Wednesday, attracted broad bipartisan support and received far more than the two-thirds that would be needed to override Mr. Bush’s veto, should he keep his pledge to wield his pen.
Mr. Bush has said he wants to sharply limit government subsidies to farmers at a time of near-record commodity prices and soaring global demand for grain. Most legislators were not swayed by Mr. Bush’s description of the bill as bloated, expensive and packed with “a variety of gimmicks.”
Senator Harry Reid of Nevada, the Democratic majority leader, defended the measure as “one of compromise.” . . .
[The bill] extends many existing federal subsidies that the president and other critics say are difficult to justify in such flush times for agricultural producers. . .
In the House chamber on Wednesday, longtime critics of farm subsidies in both parties echoed Mr. Bush’s complaints about the current bill.
“Where’s the beef?” asked Representative Ron Kind, Democrat of Wisconsin, standing in the House floor next to a poster showing sharp increases in commodity prices — 126 percent for wheat, 57 percent for soybeans, 45 percent for corn. “Where’s the real reform?” he said.
For the record, neither presidential candidate voted on the bill.
(Via Instapundit.)
Zimbabwe vote rigging in action
July 5, 2008A film smuggled out of the country shows Zimbabwean vote-rigging in process. In the film, a Mugabe crony watches carefully as people prepare their postal ballot.
There’s a lesson for us here as well. The secret ballot is the fundamental instrument of democracy, and the moves to vote-by-mail in several states endanger it. Absentee ballots are already the tool of choice for election fraud in the United States.
Kennedy v. Federalism
July 4, 2008In his execrable opinion overturning Louisiana’s death penalty for child rape, Justice Kennedy made an important factual error:
When the Supreme Court ruled last week that the death penalty for raping a child was unconstitutional, the majority noted that a child rapist could face the ultimate penalty in only six states — not in any of the 30 other states that have the death penalty, and not under the jurisdiction of the federal government either.
This inventory of jurisdictions was a central part of the court’s analysis, the foundation for Justice Anthony M. Kennedy’s conclusion in his majority opinion that capital punishment for child rape was contrary to the “evolving standards of decency” by which the court judges how the death penalty is applied.
It turns out that Justice Kennedy’s confident assertion about the absence of federal law was wrong.
This is embarrassing for Justice Kennedy, but it ought to be beside the point. The whole point to federalism is that states should be able to make their own laws. What is or is not the law in other jurisdictions ought to be irrelevant. Under Kennedy, the legitimacy of our own state’s laws can depend on other states and/or the Federal government passing similar laws.
(ASIDE: It’s actually worse than that. Florida also has such a law, but it was discounted (page 13-14) because it was overturned by Florida courts. Thus, the legitimacy of your state’s laws depend not only other other states’ laws, but their judiciaries as well.)
So, what’s the threshold? How many states need to pass a law before it becomes legitimate? Evidently more than six, but is ten enough? Fifteen?
Well, perhaps we can make some good out of this. If fourteen states aren’t enough, then we can invalidate some states’ 55-mph (or lower) urban speed limits. (Hawaii’s 50 mph should definitely go!) Only five states require handgun registration; that’s definitely below threshold.
Britain commits suicide
July 4, 2008Sharia is on its way to Britain, courtesy of Britain’s highest judge:
The most senior judge in England yesterday gave his blessing to the use of sharia law to resolve disputes among Muslims.
Lord Chief Justice Lord Phillips said that Islamic legal principles could be employed to deal with family and marital arguments and to regulate finance. He declared: ‘Those entering into a contractual agreement can agree that the agreement shall be governed by a law other than English law.’
In his speech at an East London mosque, Lord Phillips signalled approval of sharia principles as long as punishments – and divorce rulings – complied with the law of the land.
We are supposed to be reassured that the law will hold the line on stoning:
Lord Phillips said that any sanctions must be ‘drawn from the laws of England and Wales’. Severe physical punishment – he mentioned stoning, flogging or amputating hands – is ‘out of the question’ in Britain, he added.
(ASIDE: This is crap, of course, since the government has done little to stop the “honor killings” that are already going on in Britain.) Of course, the problem isn’t just the barbaric punishments, but the idea that women will “voluntarily” sign away their rights:
Lord Phillips’ speech brought protests from lawyers who fear women could be disadvantaged in supposedly voluntary sharia deals.
Barrister and human rights specialist John Cooper said: ‘There should be one law by which everyone is held to account. ‘Well-crafted laws in this country, drawn up to protect both parties including the weak and vulnerable party in matrimonial break-ups, could be compromised.’ . . .
Robert Whelan, of the Civitas think tank, said: ‘Everybody is governed by English law and it is not possible to sign away your legal rights. That is why guarantees on consumer products always have to tell customers their statutory rights are not affected.
‘There is not much doubt that in traditional Islamic communities women do not enjoy the freedoms that they have had for 100 years or more in Britain.
‘It is very easy to put pressure on young women in a male-dominated household. The English law stands to protect people from intimidation in such circumstances.’Shadow Home Secretary Dominic Grieve said: ‘Mediation verdicts which are incompatible with our own legal principles should never be enforceable. One of the key aspects of our free society is equality. This should be understood and respected by all.’
Or if not by all, at least by Britain’s top judge.
(Via the Corner.)
Man the barricades
July 4, 2008Forget the war, jurisprudence, and taxes. Here’s an issue that really matters: Sen. John Warner (R-VA) wants to reinstate the 55-mph speed limit.
This needs to get quashed right away.
Not a fashion statement
July 4, 2008This is awesome: the Colombian commandos who freed the FARC hostages by pretending to be FARC terrorists themselves were wearing “Che” T-shirts.
Obama denies flipping on Iraq
July 4, 2008Despite backing off the central promise of his campaign, to remove all troops from Iraq in 16 months, Barack Obama denies that his position has changed:
Democrat Barack Obama denied Thursday any suggestion he’s shying away from his proposed 16-month phased withdrawal of all combat troops from Iraq, calling it “pure speculation” and adding that his “position has not changed” — shortly before telling reporters questioning his stance that he will “continue to refine” his policies as warranted.
The one thing we’ve learned to expect from Obama is he will never admit that he’s changing his position. His one consistent position is that his position is consistent. But, in a break with precedent, the press is not buying it. Of course, it may be good politics to bury this shift (along with others) on the July 4 weekend.
Anyway, the problem with a flip-flop is that we don’t know what his real position is. Even if he were genuine about his new position, which seems unlikely, does anyone think he would stand up to Pelosi and company’s demands for immediate withdrawal?
BONUS: This is funny:
But on April 10 he told an Indiana crowd it may take “16 months to two years” to remove combat troops. In recent speeches, he’s left out the phrase “16 months” entirely.
Pressed as to why that’s been the case, the White House hopeful first laughed, then told reporters it’s because he’s been “focused on the economy.”
Good one.
Disney continues defenseless-employee policy
July 3, 2008Their lobbyists inserted a loophole that would make them exempt from a new Florida law:
Walt Disney World believes it is exempt from a new state law that allows Florida residents to keep firearms in their vehicles while at work, according to an internal memo obtained by a newspaper.
Under the bill, which took effect Tuesday, businesses cannot prohibit employees or customers from keeping a legally owned gun locked inside their cars, as long as the owner has a permit to carry a concealed weapon.
However, the bill states that property owned or leased by an employer who has a permit required by federal law to manufacture, use, store or move explosives would still be off limits. Disney has a permit for its fireworks shows.
The loophole was lobbied for by a group of lawyers that represented groups and businesses that included Disney, The Orlando Sentinel reports.
Someone should fight this. I can’t imagine Disney wanting the bad press they would get.
(Via Instapundit.)
Sadr reorganizes
July 3, 2008The Long War Journal reports:
Over the space of several days in early June, Muqtada al Sadr has issued two consequential orders that will affect the future of his movement and that of Iraq. Sadr has ordered the reorganization of his infamous Mahdi Army and has forbidden the Sadrist movement from participating in the upcoming provincial elections.
Sadr’s first declaration addressed the organization and operations of the Mahdi Army, the military arm of the Sadrist movement. Sadr ordered his militiamen to halt the fighting and announced that a small, specialized unit will have the exclusive right to fight the “occupier.” The unit, ironically called the “special groups,” is forbidden to attack Iraqi security forces or government officials.
Sadr’s second declaration addressed how the Sadrist movement would participate in the upcoming provincial elections, tentatively scheduled for October of this year. In the second order, Sadr told his followers not compete directly in elections that take place under “occupation” but said the movement would support “technocrat and independent politicians” to prevent rival Shiite parties from dominating provincial governments.
The two orders show that Sadr is being forced to scale down both his political and military ambitions as the Iraqi government and Iraqi security forces continue to pacify Mahdi Army strongholds during a series of offensives that started in Basrah at the end of March, and moved through Sadr City and the wider Shia South. Operations in Maysan, a Mahdi Army bastion, are currently in progress.
(Via Instapundit.)
China turns a blind eye to hackers
July 3, 2008StrategyPage reports:
A recent analysis of web sites pushing malware (software that helps hackers steal data) revealed that half of them are connected with just ten ISPs (Internet Service Providers), and six of those ISPs are in China. This came as no surprise, as China has become the favorite hideout for Internet criminals.
There’s just one catch. The Chinese Internet is highly policed by a special force of 30,000 secret police technicians. On the Chinese Internet, you don’t do something the government does not want, at least not for long. So how do these criminals manage to survive on such a heavily policed portion of the Internet? It’s no secret that a lot of Internet mischief comes out of China, with the tacit approval of the Chinese government.
The story doesn’t link to the study, but my web search found this post.
(Via Instapundit.)
Priorities
July 3, 2008San Francisco would rather set drug dealers free than deport illegal immigrants.
Firm cuts off paper to Mugabe
July 3, 2008A new problem (subscription required) for Mugabe:
Robert Mugabe has kept his embattled regime in Zimbabwe afloat on a sea of paper money. Now, he’ll have to try to do it without the paper.
The Munich-based company that has supplied Zimbabwe with the special blank sheets to print its increasingly worthless dollar caved in to pressure on Tuesday from the German government for it to stop doing business with the African ruler.
Mr. Mugabe’s regime relies on a steady supply of the paper — fortified with watermarks and other antiforgery features — to print the bank notes that allow it to pay the soldiers and other loyalists who enable him to stay in power. With an annual inflation rate estimated at well over 1 million percent, new notes with ever more zeros need to be printed every few weeks because the older ones lose their worth so quickly.
Giesecke & Devrient — a secretive, family-owned Bavarian company that once made its money churning out worthless cash for the doomed Weimar Republic in the 1920s — has been airlifting tons of blank notes to the Zimbabwean capital Harare. The company, which has been doing business with the African nation since before Mr. Mugabe took power in 1980, is one of the few sources in the world for the specialized paper that is so important in an age when computers and laser printers have made forgery easy.
I can’t help wondering how Mugabe was paying them.
(For those without a WSJ subscription, MSNBC has a story too.)
Modern liberals versus classical liberals
July 3, 2008David Bernstein looks at which justices are more likely to protect individual rights:
The Supreme Court’s decision in District of Columbia v. Heller, upholding the Second Amendment right of individuals to own firearms, should finally lay to rest the widespread myth that the defining difference between liberal and conservative justices is that the former support “individual rights” and “civil liberties,” while the latter routinely defer to government assertions of authority. The Heller dissent presents the remarkable spectacle of four liberal Supreme Court justices tying themselves into an intellectual knot to narrow the protections the Bill of Rights provides.
Or perhaps it’s not as remarkable as we’ve been led to think. Consider the Court’s First Amendment decisions. Contrary to popular belief, conservative justices are about as likely to vote in favor of individuals bringing First Amendment challenges to government regulations as are the liberals. Indeed, the justice most likely to vote to uphold a First Amendment claim is the “conservative” Justice Anthony Kennedy. The least likely is the “liberal” Justice Stephen Breyer. Consistent with general conservative/liberal patterns in commercial speech cases, Justices Clarence Thomas and Antonin Scalia have voted to invalidate restrictions on advertising more than 75 percent of the time. Justices Breyer and Ruth Bader Ginsburg, meanwhile, have voted to uphold such restrictions in most cases.
(Via Instapundit.)
Washington Post gets flag-pin controversy wrong
July 3, 2008The flag-pin controversy is still stupid, but that’s no excuse for getting the facts wrong:
[Obama] has repeatedly been forced to address false rumors that he will not recite the Pledge of Allegiance, place his hand over his heart during the national anthem or wear an American-flag pin on his lapel. He wore a flag pin for Monday’s speech.
(Emphasis mine.) In fact, as I’ve noted before, the flag-pin “rumor” is absolutely true:
“You know, the truth is that right after 9/11, I had a pin,” Obama said. “Shortly after 9/11, particularly because as we’re talking about the Iraq War, that became a substitute for I think true patriotism, which is speaking out on issues that are of importance to our national security, I decided I won’t wear that pin on my chest.”
Not to put too fine a point on it, but his exact words were “I won’t wear that pin on my chest,” so it seems justified to conclude that he wouldn’t wear that pin on his chest. Certainly he’s changed his mind, and even denied that he ever said it, but that doesn’t make the “rumor” wrong.
ASIDE: If they really wanted to tell the whole story, they would point out that the whole flag-pin controversy, stupid as it is, resulted from Obama’s own too-clever-by-half effort to impugn the patriotism of people who do wear flag pins. Since the story is about smears on a person’s patriotism, that seems relevant. But if they can’t tell the whole story, I would settle for them getting the facts straight.
(Via the Corner.)
Tom Clancy, call your office
July 3, 2008Jonathan Winer has some details on the Colombian rescue operation. (Via Instapundit.)
World’s most offendable people are offended again
July 2, 2008Scottish Muslims are “outraged” by a puppy postcard.
Who is smearing whom?
July 2, 2008This Politico story will be no surprise to most Internet Scofflaw readers. (Via the Corner.)
POSTSCRIPT: Let’s not forget that Evan Thomas has a bit of history of his own. In 2004 he famously asserted that the media wanted John Kerry to win, and their favorable reporting would be worth 15 points in the polls. That was before claiming in last May’s Newsweek story that the media had no ideological bias.
Iraq satisfies 15 of 18 benchmarks
July 2, 2008Remember the “benchmarks”? To the Democrats last September, they were the see-all, end-all measure of progress in Iraq. Now they are all but forgotten, but the White House is still tracking them, and report that nearly all have satisfactory progress:
The White House sees the progress in a particularly positive light, declaring in a new assessment to Congress that Iraq’s efforts on 15 of 18 benchmarks are “satisfactory”—almost twice of what it determined to be the case a year ago. The May 2008 report card, obtained by the Associated Press, determines that only two of the benchmarks—enacting and implementing laws to disarm militias and distribute oil revenues—are unsatisfactory.
In the past 12 months, since the White House released its first formal assessment of Iraq’s military and political progress, Baghdad politicians have reached several new agreements seen as critical to easing sectarian tensions.
They have passed, for example, legislation that grants amnesty for some prisoners and allows former members of Saddam Hussein’s political party to recover lost jobs or pensions. They also determined that provincial elections would be held by Oct. 1. . .
In the May progress report, one benchmark was deemed to have brought mixed results. The Iraqi army has made satisfactory progress on the goal of fairly enforcing the law, while the nation’s police force remains plagued by sectarianism, according to the administration assessment.
Amusingly, the Associated Press actually puts a negative spin on this:
No matter who is elected president in November, his foreign policy team will have to deal with one of the most frustrating realities in Iraq: the slow pace with which the government in Baghdad operates.
Iraq’s political and military success is considered vital to U.S. interests, whether troops stay or go. And while the Iraqi government has made measurable progress in recent months, the pace at which it’s done so has been achingly slow.
ASIDE: The idea of grading a democratic country’s legislature pass/fail on satisfying various political objective was always a little bit nutty. How many benchmarks do you think our own Congress has met in the last year.
(Via Instapundit.)
Two in five PVS diagnoses are wrong
July 1, 2008According to the latest research, a diagnosis of persistent vegetative state is nearly as likely to be wrong as right. (Via the Corner.)
Grove Parc: Obama’s Katrina
July 1, 2008The Boston Globe has a devastating article on the abject failure of Obama’s housing policy:
The squat brick buildings of Grove Parc Plaza, in a dense neighborhood that Barack Obama represented for eight years as a state senator, hold 504 apartments subsidized by the federal government for people who can’t afford to live anywhere else.
But it’s not safe to live here.
About 99 of the units are vacant, many rendered uninhabitable by unfixed problems, such as collapsed roofs and fire damage. Mice scamper through the halls. Battered mailboxes hang open. Sewage backs up into kitchen sinks. In 2006, federal inspectors graded the condition of the complex an 11 on a 100-point scale – a score so bad the buildings now face demolition.
Grove Parc has become a symbol for some in Chicago of the broader failures of giving public subsidies to private companies to build and manage affordable housing – an approach strongly backed by Obama as the best replacement for public housing.
But if the program failed to produce inhabitable housing, it did not fail to enrich Obama’s friends:
As a state senator, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee coauthored an Illinois law creating a new pool of tax credits for developers. . . Grove Parc and several other prominent failures were developed and managed by Obama’s close friends and political supporters. Those people profited from the subsidies even as many of Obama’s constituents suffered. Tenants lost their homes; surrounding neighborhoods were blighted.
The campaign did not respond to questions about whether Obama was aware of the problems with buildings in his district during his time as a state senator, nor did it comment on the roles played by people connected to the senator.
Among those tied to Obama politically, personally, or professionally are:
- Valerie Jarrett, a senior adviser to Obama’s presidential campaign and a member of his finance committee. Jarrett is the chief executive of Habitat Co., which managed Grove Parc Plaza from 2001 until this winter and co-managed an even larger subsidized complex in Chicago that was seized by the federal government in 2006, after city inspectors found widespread problems.
- Allison Davis, a major fund-raiser for Obama’s US Senate campaign and a former lead partner at Obama’s former law firm. Davis, a developer, was involved in the creation of Grove Parc and has used government subsidies to rehabilitate more than 1,500 units in Chicago, including a North Side building cited by city inspectors last year after chronic plumbing failures resulted in raw sewage spilling into several apartments.
- Antoin “Tony” Rezko, perhaps the most important fund-raiser for Obama’s early political campaigns and a friend who helped the Obamas buy a home in 2005. Rezko’s company used subsidies to rehabilitate more than 1,000 apartments, mostly in and around Obama’s district, then refused to manage the units, leaving the buildings to decay to the point where many no longer were habitable.
- Campaign finance records show that six prominent developers – including Jarrett, Davis, and Rezko – collectively contributed more than $175,000 to Obama’s campaigns over the last decade and raised hundreds of thousands more from other donors. Rezko alone raised at least $200,000, by Obama’s own accounting.
- One of those contributors, Cecil Butler, controlled Lawndale Restoration, the largest subsidized complex in Chicago, which was seized by the government in 2006 after city inspectors found more than 1,800 code violations.
Butler and Davis did not respond to messages. Rezko is in prison; his lawyer did not respond to inquiries. Jarrett, a powerful figure in the Chicago development community, agreed to be interviewed but declined to answer questions about Grove Parc, citing what she called a continuing duty to Habitat’s former business partners.
Mickey Kaus calls the story Obama’s Katrina. I’m not sure that’s fair. Katrina, after all, was a mismanaged natural disaster. Grove Parc, on the other hand, is a case of human corruption that enriched Obama’s friends, who in turn enriched him personally. Also, FEMA seems to have learned from Katrina (as its performance in the recent midwestern floods indicates), but Obama has campaigned on expanding the program that created Grove Parc to a nationwide scale.
Kaus also notes that while Obama has distanced himself from Rezko since his conviction, Jarrett remains a top Obama advisor. For now.
(Via Althouse, via Instapundit.)
All the news that fits the narrative
July 1, 2008John Althouse Cohen fact-checks a New York Times article on how hard men and women work. I’ll bet the NYT wishes people would stop doing that.
(Via Instapundit.)
Obama’s tax increase would place him in elite company
July 1, 2008Politicians often measure the impact of tax-rate changes on the number of dollars they “generate” or “cost”. This is useful for generating large, impressive numbers, but it’s not actually a useful measure, for two reasons. First, tax changes never generate or cost the predicted amount. (In fact, Hauser’s Law indicates that tax-rate changes have essentially no impact on revenues.) Second, it’s the tax rates themselves — not the overall amount collected — that is relevant to taxpayers’ lives and (particularly the marginal rates) to the health of the economy.
Hank Adler, a professor at Chapman University, has looked at Barack Obama’s proposed tax increases, and notes that they are almost unprecedented in US history. (Via TaxProf, via Instapundit.) One frightening figure is an tax increase of as high as 39% on self-employment income.
In fact, since the First World War, there has only been one tax increase greater than the one Obama proposes: Herbert Hoover’s tax increase of 1932. Hoover’s economic policy (which Obama promises to follow in other ways as well) is now generally seen as regrettable.
School choice in Sweden
July 1, 2008The Economist reports that school choice has been successful in the most unlikely of places, Sweden:
BIG-STATE, social-democratic Sweden seems an odd place to look for a free-market revolution. Yet that is what is under way in the country’s schools. Reforms that came into force in 1994 allow pretty much anyone who satisfies basic standards to open a new school and take in children at the state’s expense. The local municipality must pay the school what it would have spent educating each child itself—a sum of SKr48,000-70,000 ($8,000-12,000) a year, depending on the child’s age and the school’s location. Children must be admitted on a first-come, first-served basis—there must be no religious requirements or entrance exams. Nothing extra can be charged for, but making a profit is fine.
The reforms were controversial, especially within the Social Democratic Party, then in one of its rare spells in opposition. They would have been even more controversial had it been realised just how popular they would prove. In just 14 years the share of Swedish children educated privately has risen from a fraction of a percent to more than 10%.
At the time, it was assumed that most “free” schools would be foreign-language (English, Finnish or Estonian) or religious, or perhaps run by groups of parents in rural areas clubbing together to keep a local school alive. What no one predicted was the emergence of chains of schools. Yet that is where much of the growth in independent education has come from. Sweden’s Independent Schools Association has ten members that run more than six schools, and five that run ten or more.
The biggest, Kunskapsskolan (“Knowledge Schools”) opened its first six schools in 2000. Four more opened last autumn, bringing the total to 30. It now has 700 employees and teaches nearly 10,000 pupils, with an operating profit of SKr62m last year on a turnover of SKr655m.
This is the sort of success that US teachers’ unions have been working hard to prevent.
Posted by K. Crary 
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