Internet Scofflaw

Strategypage has an optimistic analysis of what’s happening in Libya. (Optimistic in the sense that Qaddafi will lose in the end, not in the sense that he will lose without additional bloodshed, or in the sense that we will necessarily like whoever follows him.) His conclusion:

Out of approximately 50,000 regular troops, only a hardcore of about 5,000 soldiers and special forces can be considered reliable, and it’s simply impossible to retain dictatorial control over a population of almost 7,000,000 people with only a single brigade of soldiers. It is now out of the question as to whether the government can retake the entire country. It can only hold out for as long as possible.

I hope he’s right.

(Via Instapundit.)

This entry was posted on Thursday, February 24th, 2011 at 2:46 pm and is filed under Military. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.