It’s hard to keep up with the pace of events in Zimbabwe, but it seems to fluctuate between three states:
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Mugabe will steal the election outright.
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Mugabe will rig the results enough for a runoff, which he will try to steal.
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Mugabe will leave office voluntarily.
State three always seemed far-fetched, but there was enough talk of it from supposedly informed sources that I began to hope. Now things appear to have settled into state two. This isn’t good news; Mugabe now knows how many votes he’s going to have to steal to win. Expect to see him “win” the runoff by a narrow margin.